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San Francisco Onion Futures Company

298 pointsby 12h agoonionfutures.com
108 comments
11h agoHN ↗

FAQ

Is this legal?

Yes, to the best of our knowledge. 7 U.S. Code § 13-1 prohibits "contract[s] for the sale of [...] onions for future delivery [...] on or subject to the rules of any board of trade in the United States." The San Francisco Onion Futures Company is not a board of trade, defined as an "organized exchange or other trading facility". We sell contracts privately to individual buyers, and do not operate any exchange or secondary market.

Performance art against that law?

Also November onions are an absolute steal compared to the adjacent months!

11h agoHN ↗

The San Francisco Onion Futures Company is not a board of trade, defined as an "organized exchange or other trading facility".

I hate to argue but then what would they define this as, if not an organized exchange or other trading facility?

11h agoHN ↗

I think their point is there's no "peer to peer" trading so it's not an exchange. You're always contracting futures with them, so it's more like a vegetables seller than a trading facility.

11h agoHN ↗

Exactly right. You're able to privately resell contract keys (and the buyer can then re-issue a new key with their delivery info, voiding the old one), but onionfutures.com doesn't facilitate it.

11h agoHN ↗

I mean, it kind of does, though, no? Since it is backing the contract in the first place? Why else would anyone buy those contracts if they didn't know they have value provided by onionfutures.com in the first place? Why can't I just sell a fake key, claim it'll work, and make unlimited money this way if that wasn't the case?

The specific laws do not actually ban the transfer of those contracts (tbf this is very complex and depends on your reading). And yes they do not facilitate the trading of the instruments in the secondary market but they absolutely facilitate the instruments themselves otherwise there cannot be a secondary market without any backers of the instruments.

10h agoHN ↗

See FBT's comment below, it's about matching or being on both sides of the trade.

58m agoHN ↗

Between CBOE and OCC, that’s (exactly?) how options trading works as well, and I don’t think anyone claims that CBOE is not an exchange.

11h agoHN ↗

7 USC § 1a(37) defines an "organized exchange" as

[A] trading facility that— (A) permits trading— (i) by or on behalf of a person that is not an eligible contract participant; or (ii) by persons other than on a principal-to-principal basis; or (B) has adopted (directly or through another nongovernmental entity) rules that— (i) govern the conduct of participants, other than rules that govern the submission of orders or execution of transactions on the trading facility; and (ii) include disciplinary sanctions other than the exclusion of participants from trading.

And 7 USC § 1a(51)(A) defines a "trading facility" as

[A] person or group of persons that constitutes, maintains, or provides a physical or electronic facility or system in which multiple participants have the ability to execute or trade agreements, contracts, or transactions— (i) by accepting bids or offers made by other participants that are open to multiple participants in the facility or system; or (ii) through the interaction of multiple bids or multiple offers within a system with a pre-determined non-discretionary automated trade matching and execution algorithm.

(7 USC § 1a(51)(B) then follows with some exceptions to that definition.)

In short—an "organized exchange" is defined as a type of "trading facility". To count as a trading facility", whether of the "organized exchange" type or not, you must either accept bids or offers from other participants yourself or else deterministically match and execute those bids and offers.

5h agoHN ↗

This is really neat, but, the wages and other costs are way too ballooned to envision as a simulator parallel to 'real life' farming.

52m agoHN ↗

It runs on 250 year epochs so if you join late the costs have inflated quite a bit

3h agoHN ↗

But isn’t the point that futures trading reduces volatility from things like weather?

2h agoHN ↗

“Absorbs” volatility might be more accurate.

59m agoHN ↗

I will resist the urge to inquire about the difference between reducing and absorbing.

9m agoHN ↗

I won't. What's the difference here between resisting and absorbing volatility?

54m agoHN ↗

None of the products you’ve chosen have a substantial futures market, which is why the person you responded to chose corn to make their point.

4h agoHN ↗

This has to have been the inspiration for Milo Minderbinder cornering the cotton market in Catch-22, right?

3h agoHN ↗

Interesting. This would be more sensible if it was time-bound. Since the intention was clearly "stop a bad thing someone is doing right now" and not "make this field illegal forever"

11h agoHN ↗

These onion prices are quite high! The novelty probably drives up prices. Too bad there isn’t a liquid market for onions

11h agoHN ↗

Maybe I open a tor store for people trading these onions with one another?

11h agoHN ↗

How many onions / lbs does a contract represent?

11h agoHN ↗

Pricing is per onion. You could order some and weigh them, and report back.

11h agoHN ↗

A contract represents a set of (quantity, month) tuples, where quantity is an integer greater than zero; that number of yellow onions will be delivered in the corresponding month to the current holder of the contract. The mass of each onion is unspecified, as is the mean and variance of the underlying onion-mass distribution from which they are drawn.

10h agoHN ↗

I know, right! Way overvalued. I’m shorting onions.

11h agoHN ↗

Can we tokenize this or get some prediction markets going on Polymarket?

11h agoHN ↗

Why was the law against onion futures passed in the first place? Couldn’t the same scheme be done with garlic, or sweet potatoes, or turnips or something?

11h agoHN ↗

A guy cornered the market in the fifties, caused a scandal, they made a special exception.

10h agoHN ↗

Two guys. At one point bags of onions were being sold for less than the value of the bags they were in...

They also got onion farmers to buy back onions they'd already sold.

10h agoHN ↗

But what I’m saying is, why did they only cover onions? I don’t think there’s anything stopping someone from cornering the market in other commodities just as easily

9h agoHN ↗

Because the size of the market was/is so small that you're actually able to corner it. Oil or Treasury futures are far too big that no single person could ever corner it.

8h agoHN ↗

Though the Hunt brothers made a pretty good run at the Silver market in 1980.

8h agoHN ↗

China went all in on rare earth concentrate processing, taking the environmental hits that no one else wanted to touch.

That paid off in a concentrated lock on the bulk of rare earth applications.

1h agoHN ↗

Treasury futures are far too big that no single person could ever corner it.

Well, you'd think, but squeezing the CTD bond was completely accepted practice well into the noughties until PIMCO flew too close to the sun and faced regulatory wrath.

9h agoHN ↗

Because American lawmakers are weirdly specific brainless creatures. This is how you get all those laws named after individuals like Megan, and my other specific fave, the Video Rental Records Privacy Act.

Shall we address the general question of privacy, or just close the particular breach that affected a congressman? You know it's going to be the latter.

3h agoHN ↗

narrowly scoped laws limit the blast radius of a stupid law without the political price of opposing a law in the aftermath of a disaster that law would have prevented. imagine if they had banned commodities trading in general!

2h agoHN ↗

weirdly specific brainless creatures

Legislative product management, by committee.

2h agoHN ↗

This one is a great example of how a Republic can avoid the worst excesses of direct Democracy

A direct democracy might have just banned all futures.

11h agoHN ↗

The people behind this are a real (if silly) student organization at UChicago and Northwestern campaigning for the legalization of onion futures trading. Sometimes they will aggressively hand out free onions to passerby on campus. It's quite entertaining.

They have a website also: https://onionfutures.org

11h agoHN ↗

Hi! I'm the proprietor of onionfutures.com. I'm actually not a member of UChicago for Our Futures and came up with the idea independently, but we've since connected and they handle our Chicago deliveries.

11h agoHN ↗

Are you really charging $9/onion? I get upset when Safeway charges $2/lb when I can get onions for a quarter that price.

9h agoHN ↗

maybe it tastes more oniony than most onions, these onions are the essential onions of which other onions are mere shadows.

7h agoHN ↗

It's the mischief caused by shadow onions lurking in dark corners of the market bins that make me cry.

10h agoHN ↗

Yes, it's primarily a novelty/art thing. But I do actually deliver the onions. Prices vary.

1h agoHN ↗

“You would never sell anything to any of those people ever again.”

10h agoHN ↗

I can confirm this person is the owner of onionfutures.com

7h agoHN ↗

I can confirm this person can confirm a11ce is the owner of onionfutures.com

4h agoHN ↗

I can confirm that these people are silly.

11h agoHN ↗

In an onion related note... is the "I sell onions on the internet" guy still around? I believe he was selling Vidalia onions.

4m agoHN ↗

peter here... sincerely appreciate your business.

7m agoHN ↗

I'm still here : ) just finished up year 11.

11h agoHN ↗

Since this may be a legal gray area, they should host it on a Tor onion site.

11h agoHN ↗

and for hedging risks associated with weather and market fluctuations

Why don't existing futures cover this? Are onions unique in how sturdy they are? You can use derivatives of the weather itself even.

9h agoHN ↗

Because, specifically for onions, it's infamously illegal in the US (as the site alludes to).

11h agoHN ↗

Are these contract prices really "per onion"? Or are they actually per pound or per kg? Up to $9.39 seems very expensive if it's really the price for a single onion.

I thought maybe they're some sort of special exotic onion variety, but I don't see anything to suggest that.

11h agoHN ↗

They are per (normal (sometimes organic) yellow) onion. Prices vary.

(It's primarily a novelty/art thing. But I do actually deliver the onions.)

8h agoHN ↗

Love it, reminds me of early days of crypto.

How do you decide upon a price?

10h agoHN ↗

Looking forward to my 2 onions in November! Anyone have some good recipes?

10h agoHN ↗

Search for italian “soffritto” and “ragù alla bolognese”

5h agoHN ↗

French onion soup [0]

Some personal preference not covered in that recipe: do not caramelise all your onion; instead, keep a quarter and add it in after you have caramelised the rest. This gives a bit more variety in terms of taste and texture.

Few things warm your cockles this satisfyingly on a wet, dreary late-Autumn evening.

[0] https://www.seriouseats.com/french-onion-soup-recipe

10h agoHN ↗

I get that it’s a joke, since onion futures are illegal. But isn’t trading all futures regulated?

9h agoHN ↗

You're not really trading a future, you're just pre-ordering onions.

9h agoHN ↗

Yeah, this is pretty much the loophole. They're never actually referred to as futures, but as "private, transferable contracts for the future physical delivery of yellow onions".

7h agoHN ↗

Hard to take this seriously when it just lists “onion” as the commodity. The onion we extract from the ground is not the same everywhere. Onion can be either light or heavy based on the size and density. Light onion will roll more easily than thicker, "heavy" onion.

The sulfur content also affects the onion quality and price: “sweet” onion has low sulfur content, “sour” onion has high. Sweet onion can be used much more easily than sour onion, which requires more culinary processing to extract the sulfur compounds that make you smelly and your eyes water.

Onion has been shown to have a negative impact on climate, especially on air quality with people in confined spaces after lunch, but despite this it continues to be a valuable resource that is processed into many everyday foodstuffs: white, yellow, red, salad, and for specialist applications the highly refined shallot and pearl compounds as well.

Alas it seems likely that geopolitical upheaval will mean onion trading at ever higher prices. Brest Roscoff Intermediate (light, sweet onion) is trading over $8 a bunch (yes, crude onion is traded in weird units!) since the war began.

There’s also a bright future for synthetic. environmentally friendlier onion! Hydroponically grown scallions — so called “green” onion — have some interesting applications in the aerospace industry e.g. in-flight sandwiches and salads.

6h agoHN ↗

Let the free market reign supreme.

Tsk. There is no free market.

6h agoHN ↗

I can't wait until someone tries to corner the market, holds a shitton of future onions, the onions go bad and the market implodes showing that future contracts on perishable items is generally a bad idea.

6h agoHN ↗

Future contracts on perishable items are executed all the time.

6h agoHN ↗

I can't short onion futures? Why? Buying the nov. Contract and selling the dec. Would net a >100% return on a month (minus the freezing cost of the onions)

2h agoHN ↗

You can, since the contracts are transferrable. But SFOFC is not an exchange so you'd have to find a buyer yourself.

5h agoHN ↗

Please note that although we will do our best to contact you and deliver your onions, no refunds are offered even in the case of a failed delivery.

How many times have you failed delivery where you have been able to establish contact with contract owner and they want their onions? Curious

4h agoHN ↗

Someone call Peter Askew, the vidalia onion guy!

www.onions.com

3h agoHN ↗

It's an onion Michael, how much could it cost, $9.41?

1h agoHN ↗

How are prices determined? ... using a proprietary algorithm.

How is this article HN newsworthy?

1h agoHN ↗

Is the price of onions really that seasonal? Shall have to check

1h agoHN ↗

This is a rip-off. I live in NYC and these prices are 2x to 4x what I pay for organic onions.

1h agoHN ↗

These aren't onions, these are onion futures! You can buy a physical onion now for one price, but you can't buy the promise of an onion later!

1h agoHN ↗

Okay folks, I've got one onion for November. Charged $3.74, yours for $4.50! But hurry! By November it could be worth $9!

I am serious, reply here, I'll sell you my onion contract for $4.50. Who's buying?