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OpenAI is well positioned to fast-follow Jev

133 pointsby 2h agoarcturus-labs.com
101 comments
2h agoHN ↗

I'm not exactly following through with the claim, can someone explain how the built-in classification would not necessitate more tokens used, or be much different from turning on reasoning? Not that I don't see the difference, I just doing see how OpenAI would do it well.

2h agoHN ↗

AFAIK Jev is nothing special technically so it's easy to embed it as an another tool for the LLM? For many batch tasks it can still be quite a token saver I think.

Or they can even offer it as a standalone API if deemed worth it.

2h agoHN ↗

Jev seems to have three benefits:

1) It's very cheap and fast - you provide one input and many potential classifications, and the compute to ingest the input is shared.

2) It generates structured output natively - guaranteed to be correct

3) It's output probabilities are calibrated to actually mean something

OpenAI, or anyone else, could certainly replicate it - there are already articles guessing how Jev achieves its "parallel" classifications, but it seems the AI companies need to decide are they in the business of providing intelligence/tokens, or are they in the application business trying to compete with all their customers (not that Jev uses OpenAI).

2h agoHN ↗

(3) seems to be the hard one, you have to have training data with accurate probabilities, maybe, but perhaps not since people are primed to trust

1h agoHN ↗

yes, and... pretty much everything in the Ai field comes back to "data makes more difference"

2h agoHN ↗

Just to clarify:

2) It generates structured output natively - guaranteed to be correct

It's not guaranteed to be correct: it's guaranteed to be _formatted in a particular way_. You can get the same thing with grammars on any LLM.

Jev and Jev-like models have other advantages, but I feel like people forget grammars exist for LLMs.

1h agoHN ↗

Grammars do risk pushing models off distribution in a way that impacts their output quality in a way Jev allegedly does not suffer from. Additionally, Jev's ability to answer questions independently is also exciting. Using an LLM to answer multiple questions in one generation has the property of earlier answers influencing later ones. TBD how many of TypeSafe's claims stand up, but my testing so far is promising. I hope they author some papers on their methods as well, but that might destroy their moat.

1h agoHN ↗

Not an expert at all here, but I saw a comment on the jev post saying that it you constrain an LLM suck that it outputs a valid structure, if the token with the highest probability is not the one that you expected because of the structure (and so you pick the valid lower one) this means the LLM was already confused and your answer is less likely to be correct anyways.

Is this actually true ?

1h agoHN ↗

It's output probabilities are calibrated to actually mean something

Don't fall for marketing BS so easily.

Jev can output drastically different probabilities if you simply reorder the list of choices. And Jev's "confidence" output is fake/redundant - it's just a formula applied to probabilities, it conveys no additional information.

I bet they will eventually "fix" (read hide under the rug) the ordering problem by ordering the list on the backend before feeding to the model.

1h agoHN ↗

It seems that anyway most of the value is in the speed and cost.

If it really matters to you whether whether some business-specific classification confidence is above/below some specific threshold (vs just relative order), then you'd be better off training or fine tuning a custom model for that. Maybe that is something that TypeSafe are planning to also provide?

2h agoHN ↗

I think the idea is that the latent thinking space in the LLM will be roughly the same for similar quality results - so the majority of executing well could be stripping back and fine tuning an existing LLM.

1h agoHN ↗

The claim of how they are doing it is likely wrong.... if you had to bet, it's likely an encoder model of some sort.

2h agoHN ↗

If Typesafe/Jev has 2-3 years of financial runway, this problem might solve itself.

2h agoHN ↗

The more likely scenario is either OpenAI or Anthropic just go pay some highly inflated price to buy Jev. Mainly just for its people and the PR, not tech.

Which is likely what all the VC, hype machine, and overinflated claims are really about anyways.

The tech etc is easily replicated. The hype / name, not.

I seem to remember reading that the Jev-founder-guy is ex-OpenAI anyways. So that's how these things often roll.

2h agoHN ↗

{ "answer": "might", "probabilities": { "might": 0.99, "won't": 0.01 }, "confidence": 0.99 }

2h agoHN ↗

If OpenAI releases something similar to what Jev does, then that would be like admitting defeat. Their whole spin is AGI and world ending danger. Why would somebody with an AGI at home make something like Jev which is intended to be a part of some SW the AGI is going to replace anyway.

2h agoHN ↗

ASI isn't here yet. It could benefit people in the interim and help make the ASI.

2h agoHN ↗

Why release an image model, or a video model, or custom agents if AGI will just make them all obsolete?

Why build codex if AGI will replace SWEs?

Why build excel integrations if AGI will replace spreadsheets?

2h agoHN ↗

the point of this article perplexes me. the implication is we should all just take our Quietus. you decide.

2h agoHN ↗

I would assume that they would fold this type of classification into their responses API next to existing ancillary tooling that they already ship. I think OpenAI positions themselves as being wholly focused on AGI - but I think their business model leans towards lock-in via superior tooling (Codex, ChatGPT, etc.). This feels like an easy win for them without muddying the larger vision.

2h agoHN ↗

The people that buy into "AGI is here" and the people that understand what Jev is and how useful it would be to hook it up to an LLM are two separate circles, so there's no "defeat" being admitted.

1h agoHN ↗

without getting too far into it i would just like to note that i am in both these circles

45m agoHN ↗

There's a big difference between what AGI can accomplish and what it will accomplish. We must also ask why OpenAI wants to summon their God, and how they would want the average person's life to change if it comes. I think they will try to clone Jev just to add another revenue stream.

2h agoHN ↗

It's just another tool. Luna exists for a reason: it's the right tool for the job. If they release AGI and it costs $1 and 5 seconds to decide "is the customer asking for a refund", then that's a terrible use case for AGI if another tool can do it with 95% accuracy for $0.002 and 50ms.

1h agoHN ↗

If they release AGI and it costs $1 and 5 seconds to decide "is the customer asking for a refund", then that's a terrible use case for AGI

Is it? If AGI is here then by the time I test and deploy that the AGI will be most likely cheaper and smarter because it improved itself (for example by implementing it's own Jev for stupid prompts like this), so why invest into a more complex solutions?

1h agoHN ↗

    > so why invest into a more complex solutions

Not sure what's more complex about one REST API call versus another REST API call...

1h agoHN ↗

Because AGI will also handle whatever is happening after your "is the customer asking for a refund?" question. Replacing whoever is doing that refund.

1h agoHN ↗

Well sure, in the future you may also be able to ask AGI to "please just run my life", while you stay in bed.

In the meantime, today, in the real world, there are businesses wanting to automate well-defined business flows, who don't want some stroppy AGI with a mind of it's own to instead decide to hack into something, or reward hack and make the customer happy by just wire transferring $1M of company money into their account.

33m agoHN ↗

Why would it need to? There is a deterministic flow here for the actions that are allowed. AGI isn't needed for this at all if you can map out the flow and use a classifier to decide which route to follow.

1h agoHN ↗

I don’t think that was a great example since there’s only so many refunds a customer is going to ask for. And it’s saving time that otherwise maybe would have to go through a human. The rate is low enough that a more expensive model makes more sense.

Though for tasks where you are trying to search through billions of documents, social media posts, etc. and extract certain information, where each individual post is of low value and only the data in aggregate is valuable, then that’s where you’d want something cheaper and faster.

Such as if you want to look at all posts on X in the last few months and find how many have a negative or positive sentiment about the economy (or are unrelated).

Of course you could use a special-purpose model for this, but the whole point of something like Jev is to ask whatever questions you want without having to train something new.

1h agoHN ↗

I didn’t realise they were competing. If anything Jev seems complimentary to LLMs.

1h agoHN ↗

A lot of business automation doesn't need AGI, doesn't want to pay for AGI if they don't have to, and would be better off using a classifier than something increasingly unreliable with a mind of it's own.

There are many automation pipelines that use LLMs because there was no choice, but the multi-way classification that Jev provides is exactly what they need, and is going to be way faster and cheaper, as well as having the benefit of calibrated probabilities and structured output that can be relied on.

2h agoHN ↗

Personally, I don't really care what OpenAI does here. What's going to be far more exciting is when DeepSeek, Qwen, or GLM start integrating classifiers into their open models.

2h agoHN ↗

Exactly, the future is open models. Which is also the reason why those overvalued companies such as OpenAI will lead to a market crash as soon as investors realize that.

1h agoHN ↗

I'm not sure it makes as much sense to use the same bigger models for the things Jev does. Part of what makes Jev appealing is the cost/speed. I can definitely see them putting out S1 spins of their smaller models.

4m agoHN ↗

That's not what I meant. I'm thinking more of AI systems that combine multiple modules the same way the brain has different regions. LLMs are just part of the bigger picture here. They're good at tackling a certain types of problems, but other approaches are better for different kinds of problems. Having a system that combines a generative model and a classifier for example would make it a lot more efficient and accurate because it has a bigger toolbox instead of using one algorithm for every problem whether it fits or not.

2h agoHN ↗

I'm confused. Why OpenAI and not Anthropic? I don't see anything here that is specific to OpenAI.

1h agoHN ↗

It's not just OpenAI. It can be any frontier-level lab that has more funding than Jev.

2h agoHN ↗

I'm looking forward to next week when we never have to hear about Jev again.

1h agoHN ↗

Why is everybody so obsessed with it? There are 2 Jev posts on the front page even now, I feel like I'm taking crazy pills.

1h agoHN ↗

For certain tasks, it seems much, much more efficient. That's not nothing. People have been using LLMs for various classification tasks.

1h agoHN ↗

Great, we don't need 15 thousands posts per hour across social media channels. We had classification NN before LLMs as well.

58m agoHN ↗

Yeah but they weren't that great, you couldn't ask for arbitrary classifications after the model was trained. You are underestimating what they've done here, even if it does seem a little overhyped.

1h agoHN ↗

In my company, and I think in most companies that are using AI at all, one of the first ways it got integrated is as a classifier, to tag orders based on feeding all their data into a prompt and asking for a structured output.

I think demand for tools that are more tailored for this type of integration is high. I don't really understand why Jev is supposed to get my company's decisions right more than an LLM, but regardless of the tech I think people are just excited about the possibility of iterating faster, more explainability, higher-level tools that are specifically created to help hone classifiers etc.

1h agoHN ↗

Beats me also - this feels unreliable, extremely niche, and over-hyped. I don't trust LLMs even when they explain their reasoning; the idea of trusting a black-box classifier like this seems insane.

2h agoHN ↗

There is one benefit that Jev has, that it is not OpenAI and thus it's probably less likely to steal your own work.

1h agoHN ↗

that it is not OpenAI

For now. Any company that grows to OpenAI/Anthropic's size and gets VC money is ought to become greedy.

1h agoHN ↗

Or OpenAI just buys them outright. Buying your upstart competitor seems to be in the Silicon Valley Ten Commandments. The Fed whussed-out on breaking up FB and Insta last year, so there's never going to be any kind of remediation to worry about.

And for Jev, everyone has a price, and OpenAI's raised an historical amount of funding.

1h agoHN ↗

This is a tired argument that needs actual evidence to go beyond the level of a conspiracy theory.

58m agoHN ↗

TIL the terms of service are a conspiracy theory.

1h agoHN ↗

Not steal, but keep it indefinitely, per the JEV TOS

9m agoHN ↗

I have been told that ZDR is available upon manual request.

8m agoHN ↗

At this point, we shouldn't trust company even with ZDR.

1h agoHN ↗

I find it unlikely. OpenAI is all in training models with reasoning with RL, and Jev-like models are the total opposite. They are made to not reason at all to be fast. If you want to add reasoning on top, you might as well use a conventional LLM because you lose the price and speed benefits when you output auto-regressive tokens. I don't think OpenAI will even bother with this.

My main assumption is that Jev is using something quite close to a conventional large language model. As evidence of this, Latent Space reports that many of the early clones are indeed LLM-based.

Not proof that this is the case with Jev though. It might use non causal text encoder for the state, which could make sense given that it's very good for its price.

1h agoHN ↗

I don't see it fundamentally any different than knowing when to use a tool. Is this tool like RAG an important enough corner case to train for it? I dunno.

LLMs already shell out and write code to solve certain problems. This is just a special case of that.

1h agoHN ↗

It's a special case for an LLM, and you can use an LLM with structure output to get similar results, but you can engineer specifically for that case to get better results per dollar for it. That's why there is little reason to adapt GPT 5.6 Sol or wathever for this task; it can already do it (at a high cost). For OpenAI to compete with Jev they have to maintain another line of models, something like "GPT-5.6-instant-decision", that is small, fast and cheap, in the scale of GPT-5 nano.

Note that I don't think OpenAI is incapable of doing it, but I just don't think they will bother with it.

1h agoHN ↗

Keeping people looped into your product is pretty important, but yeah, there's not clean way currently to separate "structured" outputs from the token stream and to start using a different billing structure there. And I also appreciate that they aren't going to be keen on gving free or near free output either, so gotta figure that.

1h agoHN ↗

system 2 is just an llm with a forced toolcall IMO

1h agoHN ↗

I just had Claude and Jev combine forces last night. I've built a few personal browser extensions in the past and thought it would be fun to copy an experiment I saw on twitter where Jev classifies comments/posts etc as slop or not.

Fed Claude an api key from typesafe and a link to documentation, and within about 10 minutes I had a view of HN that was populated with a little ranking as to sloppiness of each comment.

When your mind has been wired a bit to LLM latency, it feels extremely fast, and for such a subjective rating I think it did a good job.

Feels like it sits in a space between traditional ML classification and the frontier models. I can't think of a 'real' production use case for it in my sphere of influence, but certainly some will. And of course there will be five Jev competitors by the end of the year.

1h agoHN ↗

Back when I was at GitHub working on Copilot I had the opportunity to work with a very new and very raw internal API for GPT-4. Out of the gate, we knew something was way off because, after an initially very coherent response, the model would have trouble wrapping up. It would end every response with something like "Let me know if you have any other questions. Have a nice day. Have a great week. Have a good time. Have a wonderful life. Have a special day. ..." and it would keep on like this until it hit the response token limit.

I love this!!

35m agoHN ↗

I'm glad someone noticed :P - It was hilarious once we figured out what was going on. We had literally removed it's ability to shut up.

1h agoHN ↗

Not directly related, but still jev related:

Would it be intesting/useful to use jev to generate a block of text like LLMs do ?

Like asking it to pick the n + 1 word given the starting text (using it's choice primitive), but also asking n + 2,n+3 and so on at the same time.

Would it give coherent or useful results ? Or does the fact that it computes it "all at once" means it cannot make one of it's answer influence the other ones ?

1h agoHN ↗

Can't they eat everybody's lunch simply by typing "Astra, please copy this product?"

They certainly have the token budget for it.

1h agoHN ↗

Jack of all trades, master of none.

1h agoHN ↗

I think the article is part right and part wrong.

The right part: autoregressive LLMs are indeed generating “probabilities” (scare quotes very much intentional). During pre-training and any SFT steps, those probabilities are nudged toward the probabilities, over the training distribution, of the next token conditioned on the previous tokens. (This is an explicit property of most training recipes: KL divergence is a “proper scoring function”.)

So if you prompt with “Paris is a city in ”, the next token probabilities estimate the probabilities over the input distribution that the next token in the sentence is the first token of France or of something else.

But there are huge caveats:

1. That is not at all the same thing as the probability that Paris is France under any distribution that you care about (the population of the various Parises, for example).

2. None of this necessarily usefully applies to RL or, as the article discusses, tool calling. The output probability of a tool call is not some Platonic idea of a probability that the input is worthy of a tool call. It’s a the result of a training process that tried to teach the model to be useful and to achieve its goals.

3. I suspect that reasoning makes this all much worse. Suppose that you prompt with “a help desk user with IP=a.b.c.d says they’re ‘in Paris’. What country are they in?” The model has been trained to generate a reasoning trace, which may well start with “let me think of where Paris could be. It could be in France or in Texas etc. The user was speaking English…” See the problem? The model is reasoning well, but it reasoned “France” before “Texas”, so the logprob for France was probably higher than “Texas”. At the end of the reasoning trade there will be an answer, but the logprobs for that answer are, at best, some representation of the probabilities of the answer conditioned on the sampled reasoning trace. And that is not the probability distribution that a Jev user wants.

1h agoHN ↗

autoregressive LLMs are indeed generating “probabilities”

I find it slightly more helpful to say they generate plausibility

1h agoHN ↗

comments are pretty weird here, there's no real moat to what jev is doing, it is certain that frontier labs are going to release their own jev and there are even open source alternatives (although nowhere near as accurate as jev).

so maybe typesafe's real plan is to front run and releasing their own new models for some time until they can get acquired which seems to be the only rational objective

1h agoHN ↗

I don't think it's unreasonable to think this, but I do think the burden of proof is on your side. Between the SaaS-pocalypse narrative that never materialized, and inexplicably losing their first-mover advantage to Anthropic, OpenAI's track record is not great when it comes to jumping on these micro paradigm shifts.

If the headline said "Frontier labs are about to eat Jev's lunch" it might be an easier sell. But if we're gonna include Anthropic, I think part of their success is actually making products for which there is demand. It will take time for something like that to come out of this new "decision model" paradigm.

1h agoHN ↗

This article is extraordinarily hard to read. It’s tummelvisioned on OpenAI and things like tool calling which are only relevant to the extent that llms have been tuned to make relative choices, but this applies to all LLMs. Also, some really outdated references. LLM written, perhaps?

Also, moat discussion is the lowest form of discussion. I don’t care if jev has a moat. Did it get the interface right? What other past ideas have we overlooked that if given some love, could kick the door down like jev did?

Really silly stuff.. people wanting to talk about moats when there’s no castle. Moat talk merely projects the illusion of being engaged but, much more often than not, it’s hollow engagement.

1h agoHN ↗

gosh, for wanting TypeSafe to survive, this fellow just handed OpenAI detailed instructions and ideas for defeating them...

1h agoHN ↗

Jev certainly feels vulnerable but whether it’s oai or someone else that goes after them seems unclear.

Wouldn’t be surprised if every single AI house spins up a copy

But like they usually also have an embeddings endpoint

1h agoHN ↗

Asking again (didn't get an answer in prior discussion):

As there have been a lot of Jev related submissions, can someone point me to a simple guide on how I can use it? For example, say I have a script/workflow where I use OpenRouter for LLM calls, and at some point I want to do a simple classification. Can I still use OpenRouter with some Jev model...?

1h agoHN ↗

Even the article itself has the title as a question: "Will OpenAI eat Jev's lunch?". A more useful title would be "OpenAI is Positioned to Compete with Jev".

50m agoHN ↗

Jev doesn't code. It can be used with LLMs to simplify coding and token consumption, but still and LLM is needed. Will they complement each other? How can Jev replace LLMs? Are they even competing?

31m agoHN ↗

You can easily use Jev without an LLM (consider Jev used to make truthy decision branches in a script). It's not meant to replace LLMs. The tech is not a competition. But OpenAI is certainly in competition with TypeSafe, they'll want to keep people in their own ecosystem!

50m agoHN ↗

Rather than focusing on OpenAI in particular, let's just say that there are many smart people at other AI labs and if it seems like it will be popular, this technique will probably be copied. What would prevent them from adding another API?

Hopefully there will be some decent benchmarks and gateways for switching between providers easily.

40m agoHN ↗

Every major AI shop has a ton of in-house classifiers already, big, small, generalist, specialized. Some are used in inference pipelines (e.g. safeguards), some are used in data preparation, training, various one-off and intermediate tasks etc. Offering them on a public API doesn't always make business sense. I don't see much substance to this buzz, looks like people that are new to all this are discovering that classifiers exist, they are more efficient at classification, and many tasks commonly done with generative models are classification in disguise. Which is not bad at all, a fresh look at their use is great to have.

22m agoHN ↗

For me, I think the big deal is that it promises to be general and broadly applicable and high quality. That's new and special. But we'll wait to see if the claims actually hold.

21m agoHN ↗

I fed into the hype at first. Testing Jev and Laya, they both suffer from the same issues as LLMs that stop them being useful beyond limited classifications.

I can't see any benefits that a typical ML classifier would not be better at.

10m agoHN ↗

Yeah, if your "master AI" is good enough, it should be able to find and learn about and use specialized tech AI like Jev if it suits your goals, before you even know about such stuff.

34m agoHN ↗

Isn't this more and more likely on all shapes of model evolution? The providers will all copy each other.

And in this case I hope its true. I've been classifying a lot of email and while OpenAI `text-embedding-3-small` has been very helpful for fast and cheap embeddings, initial tests with Jev are very promising and much more ergonomic.

I put more thoughts here: https://housecat.com/blog/classifying-email

24m agoHN ↗

That article is a bit myopic. People and companies don't want to feed all of their ideas, projects, and intellectual property to a morally unscrupulous oligopoly. We learned that lesson the hard way with the last batch of tech monopolies, and the shift towards majority open weight models proves the trend.

Open weight classifiers and open weight LLMs will be burned onto silicon cards in a few years after the models begin to stabilize. They'll be in PCs and laptops. That's going to capture a HUGE chunk of the market.

If you need more horsepower, you'll rent the same silicon safely from AI services cloud providers without handing your data over to Anthropic and OpenAI.

23m agoHN ↗

their pipeline would be to just prompt it's internal next gen models to create a jev copy given all the data they have as a first pass.

22m agoHN ↗

I’m shaking my head in disbelief.

Reading logits is the cornerstone of ML. It’s almost like many of the people reporting on and fawning over AI have no technical background and never knew about ML classifiers or calibration.

7m agoHN ↗

I'd be surprised if they weren't aqui-hired by one of the big labs as a unicorn.

The ability to use classifiers under the hood for the larger models has the potential to dramatically improve cost and throughput, allowing them to increase margin on a very similar service.