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Show HN: Doom or Bloom, map your AI worldview

34 pointsby 3h agodoom-or-bloom.com
23 comments
Map your AI worldview by answering a few questions, and see how you compare with others.

only takes a few minutes && free & open source && private by default && powered by Jev

I think this is a really important question for everyone to be asking themselves, and my hope is that this lil project helps to move our conversations around AI futures in a more balanced, productive direction.

2h agoHN ↗

I believe your correct that this is a question everybody should ask themselves, and it would be very interesting to see how varied the responses are. I feel AI has been both a blessing and curse, and I hope it doesn't solely become the later.

1h agoHN ↗

def plan to follow up w/ some anonymized analysis of the results if i get enough submissions

1h agoHN ↗

log-in with X

No thanks? Also why do you even need a login?

1h agoHN ↗

it doesn't appear to be a requirement.

1h agoHN ↗

yeah, it's purely optional. by default, your results stay private in your browser session

but i wanted a way for people to publish their results to share w/ others

35m agoHN ↗

That's a reasonable explanation. IF you put it on the site there will be fewer complaints.

28m agoHN ↗

good call; will update the sign-in to be less prominent and a disclaimer. appreciate the feedback

1h agoHN ↗

P doom < 1 percent and at the bottom closest to incremental change.

edit: I would be curious to see how I'd changed over time as well. I would guess I was much more worried a year ago

1h agoHN ↗

really appreciate you taking the time to test it out && hope it was useful

1h agoHN ↗

Gary Marcus in the center? He is a strong AI skeptic, I think he should be lower, away from the "Civilizational change" direction.

1h agoHN ↗

i agree, but if you view the sources his answers are grounded in, he seems to have updated to being more moderate in light of recent progress. still def on the lower side of the predicted impact spectrum, but it seems he's taking the impacts more seriously now

that's why it's so important to show the sources used to derive these positions. like https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/why-my-pdoom-has-risen-dra...

1h agoHN ↗

i really spent a lot of time looking through results and trying to course-correct and fix the model where i found obvious issues, but it's definitely not perfect

if you find any particularly egregious results, they're likely due to not having good enough public sources for that user's viewpoints. def let me know and i'll try to improve them

thanks

1h agoHN ↗

Needs more dimensions for net worth and social media audience size.

56m agoHN ↗

Depending on what exactly this analysis means by Human Choices I either think it captured me well or got me completely wrong:

   Human choices can make limited changes, but dominant forces constrain the outcome.

I actually believe Human Choice is the dominant force here. But I expect aggregate human choice to limit the changes a single individual can have on the global outcome.

53m agoHN ↗

yeah, moloch will come for us all in the end

37m agoHN ↗

Unask the question.

Perhaps step outside this foolish dichotomy and consider whether LLMs are being vastly oversold as tools (no AI is not all LLMs and it's foolish to conflate the two). They can be useful in certain domains, they can be a useful crutch in helping humans think. Jumping from there to they will turn us all to grey goo or trigger a fucking renaissance is just unthinking acceptance of what you've been told by marketers and flimflam merchants like Altman and Musk selling you a dream.

The only doom LLMs could bring, which we're already seeing, is the enshittification of our shared spaces; infesting them with a simulacrum of thought and creativity, dumbing us all down till we think advertising copy is good writing and sloppy, shiny, happy images are the only kind of art we need.

29m agoHN ↗

which is why it's so important for people to answer this question.. your views are 100% supported by this project if you leave your expected bias at the door ;)

25m agoHN ↗

I'm curious why you think answering this question and plotting people on a chart based on doom or bloom would help in any way for those who don't think either doom or bloom is an appropriate framing, and I also don't really know what you mean by 'expected bias', expected by whom?

It's not an open question, it's a very closed one which severely restricts the possible futures considered.

16m agoHN ↗

1. this is just a useful marketing framing. the actual assessment uses a much higher dimensional space to model your worldview in a more meaningful, nuanced way

2. by expected bias, i meant that your answer didn't seem to actually look past the name at the actual content of the project or else you would've realized there are plenty of people modeled on here who share similar views as your own

3. i agree this type of knee-jerk reaction to the name & featured framing is reasonable. always tradeoffs when trying to get an idea to catch hold