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  2. AI Socialism: Who Will Own the Automated Future? (cosmopolity.substack.com)
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  3. An OpenAI agent escaped its sandbox by hiding questions in DNS lookups (madrobot.blog)
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  4. Show HN: EmbedCatalog – Decorate your project with embed (github.com/embedcatalog)
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  5. PoC for PUBG's anti-cheat Zakynthos's rootkit navagio.sys (github.com/hseoa)
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  6. C-to-Rust Fallacy: Automatic Refactoring != Memory Security (arxiv.org)
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  7. Cities of Salt (1984) (wikipedia.org)
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  8. Streaming Our RL Training Runs (brusharena.art)
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  9. AI hallucination of Chinese nuclear components almost led to US Military attack (arstechnica.com)
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  10. Productivity as the Cessation of Braking (medium.com/smoking2man)
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  11. Show HN: Kosh - Stop Your Bookmarks Becoming a Cemetery (chromewebstore.google.com)
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  12. File Notification Attacks (inoti.fyi)
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  13. Show HN: Loop-find, trim, rotate and crop videos in the browser, no upload (clipyouredit.com)
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  14. When It's OK Not to Understand Your Own PR (wakamoleguy.com)
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  15. Delphic Wisdom and Connection (will4planet.substack.com)
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  16. Latitude Dictates Global Marine Diatom Dynamics: 25 Years of Satellite Data (wiley.com)
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  17. What the megafauna extinction can teach us about AI startups and incumbents (johnjwang.com)
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  18. The Python documentation is now available in Persian (python.org)
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  19. On Programming, Statistics, and Java (waytoounoriginal.github.io)
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  20. Welcome to the Medical Clinic at the Interplanetary Relay Station (lightspeedmagazine.com)
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  21. Leadership Lessons from the Odyssey (danielmangum.com)
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  22. The EV1 Archive (v212.org)
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  23. New Boeing 737 MAX Software Glitch Could Disrupt Navigation Feature (wsj.com)
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  24. 42x faster prompt lookup drafting in llama.cpp (jadidbourbaki.github.io)
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  25. The Case for Learning in the Era of AI (jonbehnken.substack.com)
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  26. Show HN: Way to divide parameter space in LLM training (zenodo.org)
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  27. OpenAI: Self-replicating prompt injections exist (alignment.openai.com)
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  28. Just Ask Jev: Reinforcement Learning for Calibrated Decisions (arxiv.org)
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  29. Redium: A small and declarative JavaScript-based UI library (github.com/rolandbrake)
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  30. PHP 4.1.1 Simulator: A jsfiddle-style edit-run page for 2001 era PHP (infinitefun.com)
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How Accurate Have AI Progress Forecasts Been So Far?

2 pointsby 1h agoforecastingresearch.substack.com
2 comments
1h agoHN ↗

The calibration angle is useful: separating capability forecasts from deployment and adoption forecasts makes misses easier to diagnose.

1h agoHN ↗

I think this will widen the gap even more.