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- GPT4 starts unbelievable hype and VC money grab. Everyone will try to implement Copilot for X, either from scratch or on their existing platform.
- 60+ of crypto landscape slowly dies, unless it manages to create some strong real world usage.
- RUS vs UKR war still going stong-ish in June.
Surely you meant 2023?
Short answer for 2023 with very high certainty:
* More crypto regulations will be introduced with at least one exchange going down in 2023.
* Startups MUST now turn a healthy growing profit to qualify for further VC investment rather than from pure hype.
* OpenAI will gain further investment, ChatGPT by then will become a paid service with some startups fully sitting on top of the OpenAI API will also raise their prices or shut down.
Long answer for beyond 2023: [0]
Either way, OpenAI wins. Unless there is a open-source GPT4 or ChatGPT implementation that surpasses OpenAI's model.
[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21926473
Oooooops, fixed thanks!
There was already a 2023 thread today, and one earlier as well
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34196161
2033 prediction, I think there will be big changes in global order and we'll (the west) have (further) abandoned liberal democracy and be much close to what China is today
Possibly secession and flight to Texas and Florida, and western Canada
- Stock market continues to go down.
- Home prices tumbles.
- Employment rates drop further.
- Major recession starts.
- GPT4 let us know what data was used for answering our questions.
I think Dave Barry had a joke set of predictions every year that was things like
--turmoil in the MidEast
--January's new movie releases disappoint
--Major hollywood star caught on camera eating in a restaurant
--a film staring quadrupeds a hit with childrens audience
--a surprise bestseller by middle aged english professor at a small liberal arts college features ruminiations on the mid-life crisis of a middle aged english professor at a small liberal arts college
etc