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Lunar Terminator Paradox

28 pointsby 1h agonotes.secretsauce.net
15 comments
1h agoHN ↗

Now, what happens if the moon is not at the horizon, but higher up at the sky?

Moon follows the sun to the west so to move moon "higher" up in the sky you need to rewind time (15deg/hour). In e.g. 4 hours moon barely moves in it's 28 day cycle so the moon will look exactly the same (you can take a picture and compare). It's the earth rotation that make moon "go down" or up. I've read your article 2 times and I still don't understand what is apparent problem, no wonder AI had trouble. Also it's hard to reason about up and down when moon move along ecliptic which is curve. Down at noon points elsewhere as down at sunset.

1h agoHN ↗

is this a bad moment to mention how weird it is that the moon is perfectly positioned to create eclipses?

I think its pretty incomprehensible odds if you ask google.

But I could be wrong I know literally nothing about astronomy, it just always surprised me its not common, but it be cool if someone could explain that

1h agoHN ↗

it was my vague understanding that what is weird is the apparent size matching. since the moon is slowly moving away, eventually we'll no longer have total solar eclipses, just annular and partial.

32m agoHN ↗

The relative sizes are approximate, not perfect, but close enough that our monkey brains interpret it as more than a coincidence.

24m agoHN ↗

Idk, one could come up with a hypothesis that eclipses provide the first tangible validation of a system of mathematics.

38m agoHN ↗

The moon is 400 times smaller than the sun, but the sun is 400 times farther away, so they appear to be the same size. The solar eclipse we see, with the moon obscuring the sun but just allowing light around the edges the way it does, may be a very uncommon phenomena.

34m agoHN ↗

It’s more like, if the moon were much farther away then total solar eclipses wouldn’t happen at all. But the opposite is not true. If it were closer than total solar eclipses would be more common.

It is an interesting coincidence. But the statistician in me feels like calculating the probability is a bit spurious. For one, not all combinations of distance and size are equally likely, and running physical simulations to try and get decent Monte Carlo estimates of the odds feels a bit suspect - I imagine a decent chunk of what you’d be measuring is the influence of parameters whose values are empirically unknowable.

But, even more than that, it comes from the same place that requires me, when a cashier sees the total is exactly $50 and asks, “What are the chances of that?” to actively suppress the urge to say, “About the same as for $59.37.”

13m agoHN ↗

Im not trying to be mean but nothing you said made any sense, possibly because I wasnt clear.

I do appreciate your time and your feedback and Im not great at patience but Im going to try because I am dim in many subjects.

I meant an exact solar eclipse where the Sun and the moon seem to match perfectly.

As such the math odds are low.

Finally, if I ever went to a shop and I was charged a round number like $50, or in my case even $3 I would immediately assume I am being scammed, as that is rare given the context. ( which incidentally happened to me once in Barcelona due to a local spanish barman trying to charge me a tourist tax ).

But I am grumpy and it is late, please forgive coarseness of my reply.

1h agoHN ↗

The sky is spherical, so straight lines in the sky aren’t straight lines on its 2D projection on the retina. Rather, straight lines are great circles. So if you trace the great circle that connects the sun and the moon, the moon should "point" along that great circle – which can be considerably off of what we think of as a straight line (which is curved in reality).

7m agoHN ↗

Well sure. Yeah. Do you find this explanation clear and satisfying though? Can you use it to answer a question like "at sunset, during a half-moon, can you see an upward-facing moon"? Maybe you're much smarter than me, but I had to write the simulator to figure out the answer. Claude and gemini never wrote the simulator, so they consistently answer that question incorrectly :)

31m agoHN ↗

Was expecting time travelling moon robots. :(

14m agoHN ↗

It’s cool and all, but I do worry about this instinctive reaching for AI to build convoluted answers to stuff like this, which is easily demonstrated by, say, two balls and a lamp, not to mention the myriad of astronomical simulators that already exist.

The software is being written to teach the user something, but it’s not novel software, or a novel problem, and the creator doesn’t actually care about the process of making the software, or actually thinking about how to solve the question. But they have access to an automatic wheel reinvention machine and so...

10m agoHN ↗

I think you're overstating your case. I never said this was novel. I didn't vibe code any of this. Two balls and a lamp were not sufficient to make this clear to me, but writing the simulator was.

The LLMs have read all of the internet, and are thus quite good at answering questions like this, and I have zero problems asking them about it. In THIS case, the answers available on the internet kinda suck, which made the LLM suck as well.

7m agoHN ↗

is easily demonstrated by, say, two balls and a lamp,

...have done this many times for friends! A torch and a yoga ball work nicely ;)

11m agoHN ↗

To me, this article conflates lunar elevation and phase. Together with the use of ambiguous terms "up", "down", "above", and "below" makes it difficult to understand the author's intent and what their software is meant to visualise.

Lunar elevation is sidereal, so the maximum range is determined by the viewer's latitude. The moon's orbital plane is not perfectly aligned with that of the sun-earth so there's another component there, but this only varies +/- 5 degrees of the sun's declination.

Lunar phase is synodic, so there's no significant variation in the observed illuminated portion with the moon's elevation over one night.

The full moon occurs when the moon is on the opposite side of the earth from the sun, so it rises at sunset, transits the meridian at midnight and sets at sunrise, (+/- a few minutes for seasonal variation).

Here's a nice visualisation of the lunar analemna - the figure described by the apparent position of the moon over a month - from Mt. Laguna at 32.8 degrees north. https://www.hpwren.ucsd.edu/news/20250212/

I also found this page with a decent explanation of the effects of orbital cycles. https://www.cyclecalcs.com/learn/synodic-sidereal.html#faq